In a crypto market constantly flirting with new highs, attention turns to XRP. An influential cryptocurrency analyst suggests that the asset is entering its “most important window of the cycle,” with a convergence of technical signals that historically preceded massive bullish movements. The big question: Is XRP truly ready for a 400% rally?
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The Confluence of Signals: The Momentum Factor (RSI)
The prediction of a significant breakthrough for XRP, which could extend to triple-digit gains, is based on a rigorous analysis of momentum and liquidity indicators. The central point of analyst Cryptoinsightuk’s thesis is the three-day Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The RSI is a crucial metric that measures the speed and change of price movements. A specific signal — the bullish crossover of the three-day RSI from the 50 level — has historically been a harbinger of explosive movements for XRP. The analyst identifies three recent instances where this pattern manifested:
- The first preceded a movement of approximately 400%, taking XRP from about $0.50 to a peak of $2.70.
- The second produced a notable advance of about 27%.
- The third resulted in a climb of approximately 68%.
According to the analysis, if the historical scenario repeats, the “minimum push” would be 27%. However, a move closer to the maximum outcomes would open the door for much higher prints. The analyst cautions, however, that a “madness” scenario of 470% would take XRP to around $17, emphasizing that these are projections based on past scenarios, and not guarantees. For a bolder perspective, also see Pundit’s ‘Outrageous’ $170,000 Price Prediction for XRP: Why ‘Old World Math’ No Longer Applies.
Mapping Liquidity: Where Are XRP’s Next Targets?
Technical analysis is not solely based on momentum indicators; liquidity plays a fundamental role. The analyst notes that sell-side liquidity is accumulating above recent highs, indicating a typical market structure when a bullish move is about to organize.
Critical Price Zones
In the short term, sell-side liquidity is notably concentrated around the region of $3.40 to $3.45. In the long term, the liquidity density above is significantly higher, with a notable band between approximately $4.02 and $4.25. Overcoming these barriers is essential.
He draws parallels with breakouts, where large dense areas of liquidity were overcome: “The times we’ve had big, dense areas of liquidity like this… we run into that area, fight it out, and then boom — when we break through, we shoot up.”
Regarding the long-term price structure, using Fibonacci extensions anchored to the last impulsive leg, the analyst’s most optimistic scenario points to the zone of $6.50 to $6.80. To unlock this path, XRP needs to close above important levels:
- A daily close above $3.20 would be crucial.
- Closes above $3.36 to $3.43 put the $6.80 target into play.
Despite the volatility, the asset has demonstrated resilience, as detailed in our analysis on From the SEC lawsuit to institutional favoritism: The impressive journey of the XRP cryptocurrency.
The Macro Context: Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoins
No altcoin analysis is complete without the context of Bitcoin (BTC). The analyst frames the current market with Bitcoin sitting in a psychologically charged zone, just below historical highs. He considers this area the “best risk-to-reward for taking a short” only as a hedge, given the proximity to previous peaks. (To understand the macro context of BTC, check out $231K Bitcoin? Citibank’s Bold Prediction for the Crypto Market in 2026).
For XRP to realize its 400% potential, the market dynamic needs to shift in favor of altcoins. The analyst observes two key factors:
1. **XRP Dominance:** XRP dominance (its market share relative to the total) has broken out of its trading range and is forming a “bull-flag” pattern on the three-day chart. A new bullish RSI crossover in XRP dominance, as seen in previous phases, would mark the “moment” for a major breakthrough.
2. **Bitcoin Dominance:** Bitcoin dominance is flirting with a bearish reversal on the daily chart, complete with divergences near resistance. A renewed drop in BTC dominance would mechanically unleash the relative performance of large-cap altcoins. In the ideal scenario, Bitcoin advances toward the highs, but XRP “simply runs faster.”
This scenario of capital rotation from giants to altcoins is a recurring theme, as seen in other high-performance assets. We recently observed that Institutional Investors Discard Bitcoin and Ethereum in Favor of XRP and Solana: An Analysis of the Crypto Market.
Despite the optimistic signals for XRP, it is worth remembering that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are also on an upward trajectory, as analyzed in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana Heading Towards New Historical Highs: What Do the Main Analysts Say?. The current moment calls for extreme caution and risk management, especially near resistance levels. However, for XRP, the convergence of momentum, liquidity, and technical structure suggests that the asset is prepared for an explosive move, provided key price levels are broken sequentially.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.0246, poised to test the initial resistance zones that will define whether the 400% bullish scenario materializes.
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