Citi Forecasts Bitcoin at $181K in 2026, Driven by ETF Flows: What to Expect from the Crypto Market

The cryptocurrency market continues to have high expectations for the coming years, especially following recent optimistic forecasts from Citi bank. The institution projects that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the $181,000 mark in 2026, driven mainly by investment flows through Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).

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Why Does Citi See Bitcoin Rising So Much?

According to Citi’s report, ETFs play a crucial role in bringing institutional capital into the crypto market. Unlike direct investments, these funds allow traditional investors to access cryptocurrencies with greater security and liquidity. The price forecast for Bitcoin is $133,000 by the end of 2025, with potential to rise to $181,000 within 12 months if ETF flows remain sustained.

The Importance of the “Digital Gold” Narrative for Bitcoin

The bank highlights that Bitcoin is better positioned to attract new investments thanks to its scale and its consolidation as “digital gold.” This reinforces its appeal as a store of value, especially in uncertain economic scenarios where investors seek protection against inflation and volatility in traditional markets.

Ether (ETH): What Does Citi Project for 2026?

Besides Bitcoin, Citi also projected the price of Ether (ETH). By the end of 2025, the expectation is that the token will reach about $4,500, possibly rising to $5,400 by October 2026. Ether’s appreciation is linked to factors such as staking and yields related to the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, as well as growing institutional adoption. To better understand Ethereum’s potential, I recommend reading our article Bitcoin and Ethereum: What You Need to Know Before You Start Investing.

Risks and Possibilities on the Horizon

Despite the optimistic projections, Citi warns that macroeconomic risks, such as recession and political instability, could affect the performance of cryptocurrencies. The scenario ranges from Bitcoin at $83,000 under recessionary conditions to a peak of $156,000 in cases of a strong recovery of traditional markets. In any case, ETF flows are pointed out as a fundamental support factor for this upward trend.

Regulatory Impact and the Future of ETFs

More favorable regulation, especially in the United States, could further accelerate these investment flows. In this sense, the approval and expansion of crypto ETFs are seen as key elements to attract institutional investors, diversifying and consolidating the market.

To stay updated with more news about this scenario, also see how Robinhood and the Future of Tokenization are transforming the financial system and enhancing access to cryptocurrencies.

Another relevant point reinforcing institutional interest is the growth in trading volume on centralized exchanges, which reached a peak in the third quarter of 2025, showing greater market liquidity. For more details about the increase in transactions, read our article Total Crypto Trading Volume Hits Yearly High of $9.72T.

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